Donald Trump won the 2016 presidential election against Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton by winning the majority of U.S. votes. However, the map of electoral colleges in 2020 could look very different, as Trump faces Joe Biden according to recent polls.
In 2016, the electoral college map in 30 states turned red as Republicans won 306 of the total electoral college vote compared to 232 votes cast for Clinton. To win the presidential election, a candidate must win at least 270 of the 538 electoral college votes.
There were eight key states to observe in the run-up to the 2016 presidential elections: Florida, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, North Carolina, Virginia, Arizona and Wisconsin.
Trumpf won all these states except Virginia.
In addition to the Swing states, there were another 22 states that voted Republicans in 2016. This included: Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, West Virginia and Wyoming.
That left 20 states, which Clinton won in 2016. Including these states: California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Hawaii, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, Oregon, Rhode Island, Vermont, Virginia and Washington. Clinton also won in Washington D.C.
But the map of electoral colleges for 2020 could look very different. According to forecasts from recent polls, this year’s Democratic candidate, Joe Biden, could win back important swing states from the Republican incumbent.
There are now six swing states to watch in the 2020 presidential election: Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Each of these states voted for Trump in 2016. However, data from recent polls predicts that Biden could be on the road to victory in 2020.
According to the latest New York Times and Sienna College polls, Biden leads Trump in Arizona, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Florida. The survey showed an 11-point lead for the former vice president in Wisconsin, followed by a six-point lead in Pennsylvania and Arizona and a three-point lead in Florida.
A survey conducted by CBS/ Change Research found that Biden is also ahead in both Michigan and North Carolina.
The survey, which collected responses from 3,300 voters in Arizona, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, found that Biden leads Trump in each state by 2 to 8 percentage points.
Final survey data from FiveThirtyEight also showed Biden to be the national leader, with Pennsylvania predicted to be the most likely state to reach the tipping point. In FiveThirtyEight’s final forecast for the state, the pollster found that Biden Trump leads by about 5 percentage points.