A few days before the 2020 elections, President Donald Trump wins back the independents to take a 7-point lead on the battlefield of Iowa, while his Democratic opponent Joe Biden loses ground among women in the state.
A new survey by the Des Moines Register/ Mediacom Iowa found that Trump is leading with the support of 48 percent of Iowa’s voters, while Biden is trailing with 41 percent. The President’s lead is about 3.6 points outside the poll’s margin of error of 3.4 percentage points.
In the September poll in Iowa, the candidates were tied with 47 percent.
According to the survey, both candidates have kept voters within their own party. About 93 percent of Democrats said they supported Biden, along with 4 percent of Republicans. About 89 percent of Republicans continued to support Trump, along with 2 percent of Democrats.
Since September, however, Trump has won back some of the independent voters.
“I think the key to what’s happening with President Trump is that he is at the forefront of the Independents,” said J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co, the company that conducted the poll, in an interview with the Des Moines Register published on Saturday. “This is a group that looked to Joe Biden in our September survey in Iowa as being attracted to Joe Biden, and it has become a Trump asset again”.
Biden led the independent Iowa votes in September by 12 points. About 50 percent of independents supported Biden, while 38 percent supported Trump, according to the September Register poll. Trump now leads with 14 points among independents with 49 percent support versus 35 percent for Biden, according to the Register’s October survey.
The Register’s most recent survey also showed that Biden has lost some momentum among female voters.
In September, Biden had a 20-point lead among women in Iowan, offsetting Trump’s 21-point lead among men. But now the Democratic presidential candidate’s lead has shrunk to 9 points, which no longer makes up for Trump’s 24-point lead among men.
“We saw a huge gender gap that benefited Biden in September,” Selzer told the Des Moines Register. “And while there’s still a huge gap in the men’s race – they’re betting on Trump with a 24-point lead – the women’s lead for Biden is now only 9 points. So there is only an imbalance.”
The October survey of the Register showed that Biden leads two groups of Iowa voters who chose Trump in 2016, namely college graduates and women without college degrees. Biden is also a leader in the suburbs of Iowan.
Trump has retained the support of four demographic groups he had in 2016: those without college degrees, whites, men and white evangelicals, the survey found.
Yet, according to another survey, Iowa remains on the shortlist two days before the election. Emerson College’s graduate survey, released on Sunday, found that Trump is just ahead of Biden in Iowa. It was reported that 47 percent support Trump, while 46 percent are for Biden.
Both campaigns seem to continue to fight for state support.
Biden held a drive-in rally in Des Moines on Friday where he told voters: “I will work just as hard for those who don’t support me as I do for those who do support me. There will be no red or blue states in my government, only the United States of America”.
Trump was in Iowa earlier this month and has another rally planned in Dubuque on Sunday.
Both Trump and Biden’s campaigns did not respond to Tekk.tv’s request for a comment before the release.