With just one day left until the 2020 election, President Donald Trump is just ahead of his Democratic rival Joe Biden in Pennsylvania, according to a new poll.
The poll, conducted by the Trafalgar Group between October 10 and 31, found that Trump has a two-point lead over Biden in the state of Pennsylvania.
Of the 1,062 likely Pennsylvania voters surveyed, 47.8 percent voted for Trump, while 45.9 percent voted for Biden. However, Trump’s lead is within the survey’s error margin of 2.93 points, so the data remains too tight.
Pennsylvania is one of the major warring states that could determine the winner of the 2020 presidential election. Although the Trafalgar Group survey showed a narrow lead for the president, the state remains in the top group, while other recent polls show a slight lead for Biden.
A poll published by Aspiration on Monday showed that Biden is trumped in Pennsylvania by the same two-point lead. The Aspiration survey was conducted from October 30 to November 1.
Of the 340 Pennsylvanians surveyed, 51 percent of likely voters supported Biden, while 49 percent responded for Trump. Similar to the Trafalgar Group’s reported lead for Trump, Biden’s lead for Aspiration was also within the survey’s 3.7-point margin of error.
Another survey published on Monday by Rasmussen Reports showed a 4 point lead for Biden. The Rasmussen Reports survey was conducted between October 31 and November 1.
Of the likely Pennsylvania voters surveyed, 49 percent were in favor of Biden, while 45 percent supported Trump. Biden’s lead is just outside the survey’s 3.5-point margin of error.
The final Muhlenberg College/Morning Call poll of Pennsylvania voters also found that Biden’s one-point margin of error is within the margin of error of the survey.
The Muhlenberg survey showed a 5 point lead for the Democratic candidate, which is within the 5.5 point margin of error of the survey. About 49 percent of the respondents supported Biden, while 44 percent answered for Trump.
However, the Muhlenberg survey is consistent with the data compiled by FiveThirtyEight, which places Biden in the lead in Pennsylvania with 5.1 points. Pennsylvania’s most recent The Hill/Harris Battleground State Tracker survey also found that Biden leads Trump by 5 points, up 51 percent to 46 percent.
The Biden and Trump campaigns did not respond to Washington Newsday’s request for comment before publication.
Trump has a rally scheduled for Monday afternoon in Scranton, Pennsylvania, while Vice President Mike Pence will be in Erie, Pennsylvania, at the same time.