President Donald Trump is leading Democratic candidate Joe Biden in the embattled state of Georgia by one percentage point, according to a new poll – while the race for two seats in the state’s U.S. Senate is similarly close.
The Landmark Communications/WSB-TV poll, conducted on October 28 among 750 likely voters, found that 48 percent of people said they would vote for Trump if the election were held that day, compared to the 47 percent who voted for Biden. Trump’s lead over Biden narrowed in the week since the last poll. In a poll on October 21, Biden was 4 percentage points behind the president, according to WSB-TV.
With only two days left before the elections on November 3, the latest polls have consolidated Georgia’s position as a battleground state this year. Trump won the state’s 16 electoral votes in 2016 by more than 5 percentage points, beating Democrat Hillary Clinton by 50.4 percent to 45.3 percent.
Georgia has been a solid Republican since 1972, with the exception of former Presidents Jimmy Carter and Bill Clinton, so 270 to Win. The polling website FiveThirtyEight predicts that the state could topple over again this year as its October 31st moving average Biden was 1.6 percentage points ahead of Trump. In a survey conducted by the University of Monmouth between October 23 and 27, their model of lower voter turnout showed that Biden was two points ahead of Trump.
More than 50 percent of registered voters in Georgia (3.6 million) have already cast their votes, according to the U.S. Election Project. Among those surveyed, Biden led among voters who had already cast their vote, but Trump received a lot of support from those who want to vote on election day.
This is not necessarily surprising, considering that many Republican voters in the country plan to vote in person on Election Day. An ABC News/Washington Post poll conducted nationwide in September showed that the President was the leader among those who wanted to vote on Election Day, with 19 percentage points, compared to Biden’s massive lead among early voters.
Both presidential campaigns are focusing their attention on the surprise swing before Tuesday in order to convince voters at the last minute. Trump will hold a rally on Sunday at 8:30 p.m. at Richard B. Russell Airport in Rome, Georgia. Biden’s candidate, Senator Kamala Harris of California, will also visit the state on Sunday, but exact details have not yet been released.
The Landmark Communications/WSB-TV poll also revealed the state’s two races for U.S. Senate seats. The first showed that Democratic candidate Jon Ossoff was virtually level with Republican incumbent Senator David Perdue. Ossoff received 47.3 percent of voter support, compared with 47.2 percent of Perdue’s support. Shane Hazel, the Libertarian candidate, received 2.7 percent of voter support, which, according to WSB-TV, could be enough to keep Perdue and Ossoff from reaching 50 percent of the votes needed to avoid a runoff.
The poll would probably have been conducted before Ossoff and Perdue’s second debate on Wednesday night, in which Ossoff beat the Republican for his handling of the coronavirus pandemic.
“Perhaps Senator Perdue would have been able to respond appropriately to the Covid 19 pandemic if you hadn’t fended off several federal investigations into insider trading,” Ossoff said in a clip that received more than 12.7 million hits on Twitter. “It’s not just that you are a crook, Senator. You are also attacking the health of the people you represent.”
Senator David Perdue is responsible for himself, not our health. pic.twitter.com/zbtmw6rU4Q
– Jon Ossoff (@ossoff) October 29, 2020
Perdue’s campaign announced on Thursday that the senator would skip the final debate scheduled for Sunday and instead attend the rally with Trump.
At the same time, a special election for the state’s second U.S. senator will take place, as former senator Johnny Isakson has announced his resignation for 2019. Senator Kelly Loeffler, a Republican, took his place in January. According to the poll, she received 25 percent of voter support. Congressman Doug Collins, also a Republican, received 23.1 percent of voter support.
The Democratic candidate Raphael Warnock received the most support with 36.9 percent. Nine percent of voters said they supported Matt Lieberman, the other Democratic candidate, and three percent remained undecided.
Given the tight numbers, none of which reached the required 50 percent, this seat will almost certainly go to a run-off vote. But which two candidates will run in the run-off is still unclear, according to WSB-TV.