The 2020 presidential elections are just around the corner: President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden will be competing in several major swing states with tens of thousands of votes.
The votes – many of them on postal ballots – are still being counted, despite the Trump campaign’s efforts to stop them with the support of his local supporters. Meanwhile, Biden urges calm and says he is confident that he is on the road to victory.
But even if the final count is finally called, many supporters of the losing candidate may refuse to accept the result, according to a pre-election poll published Wednesday by the Washington Examiners/YouGov. The margin of error of the survey was around 3.8 percent for the entire sample.
The survey, conducted on the evening of October 30 with 1,200 representatively registered voters, showed that a significant minority of both parties would refuse to accept that their candidate had lost if the margin was small.
The Republicans were most likely to accept a narrow defeat, with 49 percent saying they would not accept the result or would be very reluctant to accept it. Of the Democrats, 39 percent said the same. Forty-two percent of Republicans said they would very likely or fairly likely accept a narrow defeat, with 49 percent of Democrats saying the same.
Sixty-three percent of voters in both parties said that they were either very or fairly willing to accept a major defeat. Nevertheless, 28 percent of Republicans and 25 percent of Democrats surveyed said that they would not or very reluctantly accept the outcome, even if their party lost by a large margin.
Trump and Biden are still waiting for the final votes to be counted in Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina and Pennsylvania. Biden is currently ahead in the first two countries, Trump in the last three.
The large number of absentee ballots as a result of the coronavirus pandemic means that the counting of votes will take longer, and the proximity of the race means that both candidates still have a potential road to victory ahead of them.
But Trump’s path is becoming increasingly narrow. The postal votes have largely failed for Biden and the Democrats, and have caught up with the President’s leadership in Georgia and Pennsylvania, who together have 36 votes in the electoral college.
The President and his supporters seem increasingly desperate to intervene and try to undermine Biden’s momentum. The Trump campaign has filed lawsuits in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Georgia to try to prevent officials from counting the remaining votes.
The campaign has also said it will demand a recount in Wisconsin, which on Wednesday narrowly missed Biden’s 10 votes from the electoral college.