In New York City, Donald Trump gained 4.4 points in 2020 compared to 2016


New York officials confirmed the results of the New York State Presidential Elections, with support for President Donald Trump in the 2020 election up 4.4 points over the 2016 race, according to data from the New York State Board of Elections.

Citywide ballots cast for Trump rose from 18.2 percent in 2016 to 22.6 percent in 2020 on the Republican and Conservative lines.

A Queens native who lived in Manhattan before moving his primary residence to Palm Beach, Florida last year, Trump gained ground with voters in four of the five boroughs during the 2020 election: Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens and the Bronx. In Republican-led Staten Island, he remained relatively stable, although the number of ballots cast on his behalf declined by about 1 percent.

Meanwhile, there was a 3.4 point drop in the Democratic and Working Families Party line, with President-elect Joe Biden receiving 75.7 percent of the city ballots, compared with the 79.1 percent of the city votes of Democratic-nominee Hillary Clinton in 2016.

The Bronx saw the steepest increase in support for Trump, from just 9.4 percent in 2016 to 15.7 percent in 2020, followed by Queens with 21.8 percent in 2016 compared to 26.8 percent this year.

In Manhattan, support for Trump this year rose 2.1 points from 2016, while in Brooklyn it increased 4.5 points.

New York State slightly preferred Biden this year over Clinton 2016-60.9 percent versus 59.0 percent – while support for Trump dropped by about 1 point despite a large number of red counties throughout New York State and in Suffolk County on Long Island.

A variety of factors may have contributed to a slightly higher turnout for Trump in 2020, although the lack of reliable and detailed baseline polls makes it difficult to determine the exact cause. Trump’s national numbers turned out to be strong among non-white voters in the United States, which allows for the analysis that minority groups in New York City may have preferred Trump more than in the last presidential election.

In addition, Hasidic neighborhoods in Brooklyn voted overwhelmingly in favor of Trump in 2016, and this trend appeared to continue in 2020 according to a map of New York City constituencies for this year’s election.

Councilman Joe Borelli, a Staten Island Republican and co-chair of the Trump campaign in New York, told NY1 that the difference may be due to the fact that certain voters switched to Trump during his presidency.

“Donald Trump has won more voters in different constituencies than we would expect. It was not just the embassy that moved to Jerusalem. I think many Jews under Donald Trump moved from the Democratic Party to the Republican Party,” Borelli said. “Besides, you see a lot of work, you see a lot of daylight now between the members of the labor organizations and where their leadership seems to be going in terms of electoral policy”.

The leader of the Bronx Republican Party, Michael Rendino, said voter turnout and the increase in voter registration was a major factor in the growing support for Trump across the city.

“We have increased our voter registration by 18 percent in four years, which is phenomenal,” Rendino told NY1. He added that Trump appeared to be winning the support of Latin American and Bengali communities in the Bronx.

In parallel with the increase in nationwide turnout, some 307,000 more New Yorkers voted in this year’s general election than in 2016, bringing the total number of voters in the city to nearly 3,067,000. Nearly 1.1 million New Yorkers chose to vote early, and 660,000 sent certificates of absence.

While Biden holds the record for the most votes cast for a presidential candidate in history, he and Vice President-elect Kamala Harris won some 5.2 million votes across the state and 2.3 million votes in New York City alone. Trump and Vice President Mike Pence won 3.2 million votes across the state and about 690,000 in the city.


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