Results released Wednesday from a survey by Redfield & Wilton Strategies showed that 47% of likely voters preferred the Democratic candidate, compared to 41% for the Republican president in the districts won by Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012 and Donald Trump in 2016. Another 9% said they were undecided.
The economy is the primary concern for 40% of respondents in these districts, while 28% said health care and 4% said law and order was their primary concern, according to the Redfield survey conducted for Tekk.tv.
Of those who participated in the 2016 presidential election, 79% said they would not change their vote, while 12% would and 9% did not know.
When asked if they were better off now than four years ago, 32% of respondents said that they were better off, while 31% said that they were about equally well off, with a total of 63% saying that they were equal to or better off. Another 26% said they were worse off than four years ago, the survey found. A further 10% said they did not know what their situation would be compared to 2016.
The survey found that 59% of respondents who said they were better off than four years ago felt that Trump’s policies helped improve their situation, and 34% said the Republican president’s policies did not.
Of those who said they were worse off than four years ago, 59% said that the president’s policies had contributed to the deterioration of their lives, and 31% said they had not.
Of the registered voters surveyed, 25% said they had already voted. In addition, 38% said they would definitely vote, while 10% were likely to vote, and 4% said they would tend to vote but might not vote. Another 5% said they would tend not to vote, but might, and 4% said they would probably not vote, while 13% said they would definitely not vote.
The survey asked prospective voters what method of voting they would use or have used in this year’s election.
Of the likely voters, 40% told the pollsters they would vote in person on election day, another 34% said they would vote by mail, and 21% said they would vote in person ahead of schedule. Another 5% said they did not know what method they would use to vote.
Of those who voted by mail, 70% said they had sent their ballot to their district’s election committee and 14% said they had not yet completed or sent in their ballot. Another 6% said they had requested their ballot but had not yet received it. Another 10% said they wanted to vote by postal vote but had not yet requested their ballot according to the results of the survey.
Voter turnout was high and is likely to overshadow the recent presidential election in terms of the percentage of eligible voters who cast their vote.
By Wednesday morning, more than 73.3 million ballots had been cast nationwide, according to data from the University of Florida U.S. Election Project. This number represents 53% of the total votes counted in the 2016 general election. More than 48 million people voted by mail and more than 24 million personally.
In states where political parties are registered, 47.7% of the 35.5 million early voters registered on Wednesday morning were Democrats and 29.3% Republicans, according to the U.S. Election Project.
In Texas, according to the U.S. Election Project by political scientist Michael McDonald of the University of Florida, more than 8 million people voted on Tuesday, a number that corresponds to about 95% of the total number of people in Texas who participated in the 2016 presidential election.
In Pennsylvania, nearly 2 million ballots have been returned by this morning, the U.S. Elections Project reported. Of the 1,978,486 ballots returned, 1,354,624 were from registered Democrats and 426,431 from Republicans.
In Michigan, according to U.S. election data, more than 2.3 million postal ballots, or 74.6% of the requested ones, have been returned and accepted as of this morning.
In Wisconsin, according to the U.S. Election Project, more than 1.5 million personal ballots have been cast and 1.1 million postal ballots, or 61.6% of those requested, have been returned.
The political landscape is full of public opinion polls at this time of year. A Real Clear Politics (RCP) average of the latest polls for the 2020 presidential election