A new poll shows that 57 percent of voters who will vote for Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden will do so specifically for him, not as a vote against Republican President Donald Trump. By comparison, only 41 percent of voters who will vote for Biden say they will vote against Trump.
The poll conducted by Fox News mentions that in 2016, 49 percent of voters who voted for Democratic presidential candidate Hilary Clinton said they did so specifically in support of her, and 47 percent said they did so as one vote against Trump.
Fox News conducted the 2020 poll from October 27-29, polling 1,318 registered voters on cell phones and landlines. The survey had an error rate of 2.5 percent.
Among the other results of the survey, 48 percent of registered voters said they “strongly disapproved” of Trump, and 68 percent of voters said they voted early, compared to 32 percent who said they would vote on election day.
In addition, 52 percent of prospective voters in the poll indicated that they intended to vote for Biden, and only 44 percent indicated that they intended to vote for Trump.
A study published Friday by Survey Monkey and Axios found that Biden beat Trump in six key battlefields and won Trump in the 2016 election: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
Analysis of the survey aggregation site FiveThirtyEight gives Trump a 1 in 10 chance of winning the election and Biden a 9 in 10 chance, but the site says Trump could still win.
Biden has cited Trump in every national poll published this month. This is evident from the data collected by FiveThirtyEight and the polling company RealClearPolitics.
Trump has repeatedly challenged the national polls as flawed and inaccurate, claiming that the race is much tighter than the polls suggest. To prove this, he has referred to national polls in 2016, which left him largely behind Clinton.
During a speech at a Biden campaign rally on October 21, former Democratic President Barack Obama said he did not follow the polls and encouraged people to go out and vote no matter what the polls said.
“We cannot leave any doubt in this election,” Obama said. “We cannot be complacent. I don’t care about the polls. Last time there was a whole series of polls that didn’t work.
Pollster Frank Luntz told Tekk.tv at the end of October: “If Trump wins the election panel now, it would be a devastating blow to the polling industry. None of the great pollsters could claim that he did it right”.
Luntz added that if the national polling companies fail to predict Trump’s victories in both 2016 and 2020, their industry would be thrown into turmoil because of massive public distrust.
Tekk.tv has asked the Trump campaign for a comment.